Thu Oct 15: the gold day, before & after
Before · the map as published
Published Thu Oct 15, 2026 at 01:35 New York time, before London. Unchanged since. XAUUSD gap used: -20.7.
Gold was inside yesterday's value (XAUUSD ≈4,074–4,147, POC ≈4,095). Price then: ≈4,141.
New York · the 08:00 ET update
Frozen at 08:00 New York time, before the US session. Unchanged since. XAUUSD gap used: -21.3.
At 08:00 gold was inside yesterday's value (≈4,074–4,146) at ≈4,145, above today's VWAP (≈4,141).
- Asia range: ≈4,100–4,162 · net delta +1,161
- London range: ≈4,136–4,161 · net delta +240
- Big orders overnight: 9 (8 aggressive, 0 icebergs, 1 large resting)
Largest:
- Large resting order, passive seller: 300 lots at ≈4,109 (18:56 ET)
- Big order, aggressive buyer: 130 lots at ≈4,145 (03:31 ET)
- Big order, aggressive seller: 97 lots at ≈4,141 (20:48 ET)
- Big order, aggressive buyer: 89 lots at ≈4,140 (22:03 ET)
Morning-map levels so far:
- Yesterday's high ≈4,172: not yet
- Value-area high ≈4,146: touched
- Yesterday's POC ≈4,094: not yet
- Value-area low ≈4,074: not yet
- Yesterday's low ≈4,074: not yet
- Overnight high ≈4,162: not yet
- Overnight low ≈4,100: not yet
Still to come today (US, high impact):
- 08:30 ET · Core PPI m/m
- 08:30 ET · Core Retail Sales m/m
- 08:30 ET · PPI m/m
- 08:30 ET · Retail Sales m/m
- 23:30 ET · Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks
After · what the session did
Price spent 26% of the session inside yesterday's value. 2 of 7 levels were reached; 1 produced a reaction of $8+ before going $8 through. New York close ≈4,152 (GC 4,172.8).
| Level | XAUUSD ≈ | GC | Result | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday's high | ≈4,173 | 4,193.5 | Not reached | closest $3.6 away |
| Value-area high | ≈4,147 | 4,167.3 | Accepted beyond | first touch 03:59 ET · next 30 min: $1.0 back, $13.2 through · 55 of the next 60 min beyond |
| Yesterday's POC | ≈4,095 | 4,115.5 | Not reached | closest $36.1 away |
| Value-area low | ≈4,074 | 4,095.0 | Not reached | closest $56.6 away |
| Yesterday's low | ≈4,074 | 4,095.0 | Not reached | closest $56.6 away |
| Overnight high | ≈4,163 | 4,183.3 | Reacted | first touch 09:15 ET · next 30 min: $11.7 back, $6.6 through |
| Overnight low | ≈4,100 | 4,120.9 | Not reached | closest $30.7 away |
Judged on the first hour after the first touch. Reacted = moved $8+ back from the level before $8 through it. Accepted beyond = 30+ of those 60 one-minute closes on the other side (time + volume). Traded through = neither. Futures data, 1-minute bars; this is a review of reference levels, not a scorecard of trades.
Session still in progress: this review updates until the New York close.
Education only. Levels are reference points from real futures volume, not signals.