University of Michigan consumer sentiment: gold before and after
Upcoming Release: Fri Oct 9, 2026, 10:00 ET (2026-10-09 14:00 UTC) ·
Also in this release: Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations.
Before the release
What it is and why gold cares
The University of Michigan survey of consumer sentiment, published with consumers' inflation expectations for the next year and the next five years. The inflation part is the one the Fed watches most.
Calendar consensus before the release. Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: consensus 47.5, previous 47.8.
| Line | Consensus | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 47.5 | 47.8 |
| Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | n/a | 4.6% |
How gold reacted to past UoM sentiment releases
We do not have enough past UoM sentiment releases in our data yet to describe how gold usually reacted.
Where price sat before the release
At Wed Oct 7, 2026, 12:52 ET, gold futures traded at 4,134.2 GC (≈4,109 XAUUSD), below the previous day's value area (≈4,143 to ≈4,182 XAUUSD, 4,168.6 to 4,207.4 GC), below the daily VWAP (≈4,112 XAUUSD, 4,137.9 GC) and below the weekly VWAP (≈4,138 XAUUSD, 4,163.3 GC).
| Level | GC | XAUUSD | Distance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above | Developing daily POC | 4,145.9 | ≈4,120 | +$11.7 |
| Above | Daily VWAP | 4,137.9 | ≈4,112 | +$3.7 |
| Above | London low | 4,135.0 | ≈4,109 | +$0.8 |
| Below | Prev day low | 4,130.7 | ≈4,105 | -$3.5 |
| Below | New York low | 4,091.2 | ≈4,066 | -$43.0 |
Nearest reference levels from futures volume: above, London low at 4,135.0 GC (≈4,109 XAUUSD), $0.8 away; below, Prev day low at 4,130.7 GC (≈4,105 XAUUSD), $3.5 away. These are levels to watch around the release, places where price reacted before; they are not forecasts.
Spreads and volatility
Around a release, spreads on XAUUSD CFDs often widen, prices can jump several dollars between two ticks and stop orders can fill far from their price.
XAUUSD equivalents use the GC to XAUUSD gap of -25.62 measured at that time; your broker's price can differ by a few dollars.
After the release
The after-analysis appears here about 70 minutes after the release: actual vs consensus, the measured move minute by minute, volume, big orders and which levels held.
Sources: Calendar: Forex Factory weekly feed (faireconomy.media); Actual values: FRED / ALFRED first prints and Federal Reserve statements; Prices, volume and delta: COMEX gold futures (GC) 1-minute data, AK Order Flow. Times are New York (ET); the release time is also shown in your time zone.
Education only. Not financial advice. Trading futures and CFDs carries a high risk of loss.